(#6140) A strong shift to democrats, the courts, and continued protests are working against trumps

     In 8 days there will be a special election for a US House seat in Tennessee. Normally this seat is a solid republican district seat for whatever reasons. They voted for trump in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Yet given the results of elections earlier this month the tide has turned against trump so much so that now this previously solid red seat is potentially in play. I am mincing my words here because I don't want to give the impression that this seat is a tossup. However the margin this time will not be the 22% it was for the republican in 2024. It will be closer to low single digits if republicans hang on. If not then there could be a surprise for democrats the next day as an upset is not out of the question.
     Now that is being optimistic. I know that the odds are that the democrat will struggle to win but with so much animosity aimed at republicans the odds are not as heavy this time in their favor. So many things are against the republicans one year later after their stunning wins of 2024. The economy is in a downturn while trumps refuse to release the monthly jobs data. We all know it is because the numbers are bad and trumps don't want us to know how bad. The epstein files still have not been released despite assurances from trump that they would be. Ukraine is being betrayed by a surrender proposal Russia authored and that trump claimed as his own.
     However the biggest obstacle yet voters are faced with are the subsidies they had for health care disappearing because of trump. All year long the focus of trumps has been on tax cuts for the wealthy, disturbing the peace with kidnappings and unruly actions against citizens in American cities. For all the woes both economically and psychological that trump has thrust upon our society the allegations against him by sexually assaulted survivors and documentation of him being a pedophile probably and should be the most upsetting. Whether all that changes the minds of voters in Tennessee's 7th district is unclear at the moment. Yet more than 80,000 voters have already cast their ballots out of a possible 300 thousand.