(#6447) 38 days until we get results...evaluating the national mood

      A short 10 day lull between Illinois starting their early voting and several more states beginning theirs. All eyes are on the polling of races in the senate and house. Traditionally the individual races are used to determine an overall total for control of the house and senate. In just that landscape the majorities for each chamber are not overwhelming for either side. Yet outside the traditional method is the mood of the nation. In that respect the individual races are less an indicator than an either overall satisfaction or dissatisfaction. In this case there is an overall dissatisfaction with republicans and it is deep. Which will likely convert into votes that are either protest votes against republicans or actual republicans too pissed off to actually bother to vote.
     Either way the result is a boon to the democratic party and as such will give each individual democratic candidate more votes to add to their traditional expected tally. As for the republicans there will be less voters giving them their time and vote given the disruptions they and trump have wreaked upon their lives. I don't expect republicans to vote in massive amounts for democrats but I do expect them to not bother voting at all as a protest. I believe they should vote for democrats en masse but republican voters are stubborn even when their vote for a democrat will help them. Regardless though, expect smaller turnout just the same for republican voters.
     As for the non voters who sat out 2024 I don't expect that to be the case this year. They all got a real eye opener as to what not voting can do to them. Still though there will be some who will be unpersuaded to activate their duty to vote and that is sad and unfortunate. But I expect many of those who didn't vote but are registered will get involved this time and find a way to cast a ballot. Also given the national mood the independents who were less than wise about casting votes for trump in 2024 will have broken from that concept this time around and will spend their voting capital on electing democrats. The national mood is less obvious to quantify but it keeps showing up in the national generic polling so don't be surprised if a blue wave is actually to come about!