With democrats winning the biggest prize last night in the traditionally republican stronghold, we can now continue to advance the idea that a blue wave is coming. The democrat won the Wisconsin state senate race by a 10 point margin in a heavy republican district. Furthermore the few other state races races for state assembly seats that republicans won in very heavy republican districts, democrats still garnered mid 40% of the votes. Although not wins for democrats in those state house assembly seats the narrowing of the margin of loss is another sign that democrats are surging in deep red districts. So the premise I offered yesterday that a sweep of these offices by democrats would surely advance a huge coming blue wave is tempered but not spoiled as to a wave nonetheless.
The win in the state senate race is the real deal about a wave election. That seat had been held by republicans since the year 2000 and was considered a safe republican pickup for the most part. Yet the democrat won by a margin of 55-45. Quite a swing of more than 40% points since the general election of 2016. Remember, these special elections are happening in mostly deep red districts yet democrats are the ones who are exceeding expectations. In blue districts last night the democrats mostly ran unopposed which speaks to the blue wave theory in another light. the republican party is having a hard time fielding candidates, decent or otherwise, to run against democrats. As well fundraising is going heavily to democratic candidates and not to republican nearly as much.
So of the 3 options I offered yesterday it seems that the 2nd option is the more probable one. That being that the wave is still building but is not a tsunami type wave yet. We can take heart though that as the special election season advances next week in Pennsylvania, there will be more opportunities to show how much of a turnaround democrats have accomplished. The deep red federal district next in play is still not safe for republicans and much like the "safe" state senate seat in Wisconsin is ripe for a democratic pickup. The stakes will be higher as trump and his accomplices will be on the ground in Pennsylvania urging for a republican victory but with the low approval ratings of this divisive, middle class destroying president it is yet to be seen if anything can help the republican party and it's now swirling rush down the toilet.
The win in the state senate race is the real deal about a wave election. That seat had been held by republicans since the year 2000 and was considered a safe republican pickup for the most part. Yet the democrat won by a margin of 55-45. Quite a swing of more than 40% points since the general election of 2016. Remember, these special elections are happening in mostly deep red districts yet democrats are the ones who are exceeding expectations. In blue districts last night the democrats mostly ran unopposed which speaks to the blue wave theory in another light. the republican party is having a hard time fielding candidates, decent or otherwise, to run against democrats. As well fundraising is going heavily to democratic candidates and not to republican nearly as much.
So of the 3 options I offered yesterday it seems that the 2nd option is the more probable one. That being that the wave is still building but is not a tsunami type wave yet. We can take heart though that as the special election season advances next week in Pennsylvania, there will be more opportunities to show how much of a turnaround democrats have accomplished. The deep red federal district next in play is still not safe for republicans and much like the "safe" state senate seat in Wisconsin is ripe for a democratic pickup. The stakes will be higher as trump and his accomplices will be on the ground in Pennsylvania urging for a republican victory but with the low approval ratings of this divisive, middle class destroying president it is yet to be seen if anything can help the republican party and it's now swirling rush down the toilet.
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