(#4952) The House can be saved by democrats

      We know the senate is looking favorable as a democratic hold because the polling has been consistently in our favor for at least a 2 seat pickup, possibly 4 or 5. Yet the house has been the worry considering all the state laws passed to discourage democratic turnout and as well the outlandish gerrymandering to favor republican candidates. But last night in a house seat that is truly considered a bellwether district was called for we democrats by almost 4 percentage points. The reason this was an upset victory even though a democrat had vacated the seat is that the polling had shown a 4 point republican advantage going into this special election.
     So a nearly 8 point reversal that favored we democrats. If there had been a red wave that was growing for this coming election in November it would have shown itself in this particular race. But it didn't and instead the race showed a mounting blue wave. All the recent special elections coming since the overturn of Roe v. Wade has shown democrats performing better than expected and republicans performing worse. This tracks with the gut punch too many of us felt when women were subjected to a lesser level of freedom because of republican overreach. So a confirmation that is hardly inconsequential was delivered last night in the form of a democratic victory that in normal times should not have happened given past history.
     So the analysts who measure these things like voter sentiment and motivation are going to have to rejigger their formulas to account for a greater involvement for democratic/independent voters in the face of punched and staggering republican voters. A knockout blow was not administered last night but a haymaker was landed. Given that not so long ago Kansas voted overwhelming to affirm abortion in their state constitution the republican party is in danger of seeing it's midterm expectations fall by the wayside. Not only are they looking at losing the senate but now the house is in doubt. The numbers haven't been crunched yet that I know of but it may well be that the states individually may be looking for more democratic leadership to quell the rights and freedom denying republican party,