Friday, June 23, 2023

(#5255) The slow boil that is the Russian implosion

      Using kitchen metaphors today. The heat is on at the front lines of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. With all burners burning hot Ukraine is advancing on most every front which makes for the Russian occupation an indefensible strategy. Russia had thought they could defend against the looming Ukrainian counter offensive and for the most part are trying to do just that. But they don't have enough munitions and troops to effectively cover the over 1000 mile long front line. Also Ukraine is attacking Russia deep into Russian held Ukrainian occupied territory disrupting supply lines and ammunition depots/troop concentrations/bridges. Russia is currently without a solution to the Ukrainian strategy of attacking everywhere instead of just rushing forward in a massive assault.
     To put it into a different perspective, Russia has prepared for a single course meal while Ukrainians are eating everything on the menu. Ukraine will overwhelm the Russian forces everywhere not just in a few areas. This is not D-Day when the allies of World War II stormed the beaches at Normandy. No, this is a storming everywhere along the front lines. Which Russia cannot defend against. Russia had hoped to move it's reserves to certain places to staunch a specific Ukrainian attack. But Ukraine is not attacking in only one place they are spread out and attacking most everywhere. Russia cannot defend against this strategy and will shortly be shown that they have been beaten in Ukraine. The long awaited Ukrainian counter offensive is a massive amount of small ones that have caught Russia with no strategic defense.
     The incredible effectiveness of the Ukrainian army and it's leaders is beyond impressive. Here was this behemoth on their border threatening to annihilate them and as it turns out the supposed behemoth was all water and no soup. The history books that will be written about this stupefying attack by putin and his kremlin acolytes will not fail to document every arrogant misstep that the Russian leadership advanced. Beyond the end of this disaster putin has implemented in Ukraine is the reality of a Russian state that will break down into lesser states of which several may eventually turn to democracy themselves. I cannot emphasize just how much putin underestimated the will of people who want to live as free human beings. Ukraine has shown the world this will and we would be wise to never forget it.

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