Monday, June 26, 2023

(#5258) The wagner leader may have Russian nukes as his wild card

      I had been wondering why the wagner leader let putin off the hook he had him on just to put himself in jeopardy at a later date. Because we know putin is no keeper of any promise he makes. But if you still have him by the short hairs then the idea that you will survive is very real. Which is what is being surmised now. The wagner leader may well have taken some nukes from the Voronezh-45 nuclear storage facility in Russia. This was forwarded by a Facebook friend by the moniker Back Door Draft. His intel makes sense since the wagner leader isn't a fool.
     Let me be clear here about putin and the wagner leader, both are war criminals and deserve to be judged as such. So there is no good guy in this conflict between the two. Much like two scorpions fighting to the death no one wins when they both survive. But if one loses then we all benefit from a lessening of further crimes committed by the omitted one. Now in this scenario both may control nukes and that is not good if either decides in their rashness that using nukes is a must. But the dynamic hasn't changed. The west will annihilate whomever triggers a nuke and that is not an outcome any of the two desire.
     So how this may play out if true will be for the near future to decide. But if true it does explain the sudden reversal of the wagner leader to continue marching on Moscow. With nukes he has a huge bargaining chip that will not only keep himself alive from putin's death squads but to also influence politics and military strategy at the kremlin. What does change though are the front lines in Ukraine. With ordinary Russians emboldened by the initial wagner disobedience to putin they are now emboldened to protest more vociferously and putin needs to bring troops from Ukraine's occupied territories back to Moscow to protect the current wounded leadership. Ukraine should then have a bit easier time advancing and kicking the Russian horde out of Ukrainian territory.

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