Wednesday, June 7, 2023

(#5239) The Ukrainian counter offensive has begun

      From the Ukrainian war videos and updates I am getting it is obvious that Ukraine has started its long awaited counter offensive. In multiple areas of the over 1000 mile long invasion front Ukraine is attacking at weak points in the occupied areas. The Russians who control the Ukrainian occupied areas are not prepared for such a strategy as stretched out. The Russians have little left of armament to defend against the Ukrainian counter offensive so the push by Ukraine to liberate it's territory should come swiftly. Russia has little chance of holding off the Ukrainian attack so expect them to have heavy losses while also retreating to safety.
     The desperation of the Russian army is evidenced by their strategy to blow a hole in the Kakhovka HPP dam in order to flood the islands downstream that Ukraine had recently captured. Their short term thinking has maybe given them a slight advantage as to slow down any advances in that area but the longer term thinking was not evaluated properly. While momentarily obstructing Ukrainian advances from those islands they also flooded their own occupied fortifications in a larger swath south of those islands. Indeed the military strategy by Russia to blow a hole in the dam may well cause Russia more harm than harm to Ukraine.
     The over 1000 mile long invasion front that Russia is badly trying to defend will not stop the Ukrainian forces who are not only attacking along that entire front but are inside Russia with collaborating forces attacking Russian territory. Russia is in a tightening vise, being attacked from Ukraine and being attacked internally by Russian forces opposed to putin and his kremlin troglodytes. It is my hope that with the continued success of the Ukrainian counter offensive along with growing unrest and action by the Russian people that putin and the kremlin are now living for merely for days or weeks, not months or years.

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