There are a lot of vulnerable senate seats up for election in 2022 (#4390)

      The chances that the republican party can regain the senate are not very good when you look at which party is most vulnerable to losing seats in the next midterm. The republican party is going to need to protect 20 seats while we democrats will have to protect 12. But digging deeper, there are approximately 5 seats that will likely be tossups for republicans and maybe at most 4 seats as tossups for democrats. Of course we have a long way to go before we know who the candidates are and their strengths and weaknesses but if party line voting is any indication from the last election the r or d after their names will be what most voters only need to know.
     Much will be decided in the coming months as to who has the clear advantage going forward but given the Biden start it would appear that we dems are the early leaders to gain seats. Which would be wonderful given that 2 of our dem senators are at this moment against ending the senate's legislative filibuster. The seats we dems are most trying to protect are in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire. I feel pretty good about these seats but they could well be competitive if republicans get their voter obstruction laws passed. On the other hand republicans in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Florida should be concerned about holding onto any of these seats.
     There are also some wildcard states for republicans that have senators retiring that typically go republican but with open seats a real challenge by a powerful democrat may switch the seat. All told the idea that republicans will retake the senate in 2022 seems a bit far fetched at this point. We democrats have to keep getting helpful legislation out that does well for our whole nation and if so we are in the drivers seat when it comes to expanding our majority in the senate. Tomorrow I will look at the House side of things but the logic is the same. If we produce for our people the kinds of programs we really need then the voters all over the country will be more inclined to reward our democratic party.