Tuesday, March 7, 2023

(#5147) It looks like Bakhmut is where all the fighting is playing out

      The besieged Ukrainian city of Bakhmut is where all the fighting is generally aimed. Whether Ukraine can continue to hold the city is the question. It seems odd to think that Ukraine can hold off Russia from taking Bakhmut given the force that Russia is laying out there everyday. Yet the Ukrainians are not giving in despite incremental territorial gains there from Russia over the last month. What Russia has been doing is throwing soldiers in a bull rush at Ukrainian defenses hoping to overrun the Ukrainian defensive positions. Yet the Russian effort has only succeeded in killing off Russian soldiers in masse.
    Yet again yesterday another over 1000 Russian soldiers died because of the Russian strategy of using its soldiers as cannon fodder. Nearly 155,000 Russian soldiers are dead and with Russia unable to change its strategy expect many more tens of thousands to follow. Russia is running out of armaments so not protecting their charging soldiers is a death sentence. Soon Russia will be running out of soldiers as well and then what? I expect that the internal fighting among the Russian military hierarchy will eventually lead to a withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine. Either voluntarily or through individual acts of self preservation. Either way Ukraine is on the precipice of ending this invasion with a victory over the Russian occupiers by making its stand at Bakhmut.
     It is Bakhmut that is becoming the Russian Waterloo. Where the end of the hoped for conquest of an invaded nation occurs. Ukraine keeps adjusting their defensive positions in order to protect their troops by giving inch by inch to Russian invaders while Russia keeps heading head first into those defenses. As Ukraine slowly moves backwards the Russians are tricked into thinking they are gaining all the while their losses keep becoming insurmountable. As Ukraine defends at Bakhmut, they are also building up for their offensive which may come very soon. All of this does not bode well for Russia. They are losing military pieces and manpower at alarming rates while Ukraine gets stronger and much more primed to overrun Russian positions in Ukraine and beyond into Russian territory.

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