Here we go. The main thing we should all be aware of is that both these districts are currently republican districts that have lately been light to deep red. So going in knowing that a democratic victory in either one of these will be a turnaround from the results of the last two decades. But that is exactly what is hoped for today. Of greater hope is the 9th district where the political pundits have rated this previous republican seat a toss up for both parties. The 3rd district is less an opportunity for a democratic turn around but a close showing would highlight the narrative that the blue wave is still ascending especially if we overcome the the 9th district with a victory.
Either way though even if we lose both races today it will be revealing exactly what the vote margins end up being. The republicans have had much success in these districts by 10 or more percentage points in the past but if those numbers are in the low single digits it still portends to hurt the national republicans. But we democrats are not settling for a close race in either district. We want to win the 9th and have an even chance in the 3rd. Because we know the republican party is having difficulty with trump as a leader and his coattails are what we are fighting hard to shorten this cycle.
It begins today with these September races and gets going even more in November when many states races come about. Today though is the beginning of the narrative for 2020 that the republican party will be facing a blue wave similar if not stronger than the one in the 2018 midterm elections when we democrats won over 400 state races from republicans and retook the House back at the federal level. The stakes are high today and for anyone to get cocky about the results prematurely only shows their immaturity. These two races are dissimilar in that the 3rd. is expected to stay republican because of historically heavy republican voting, but the 9th has already shown that is in play and although it has been a republican safe harbor in the past our blue wave is crashing down hard on it's shores!
Either way though even if we lose both races today it will be revealing exactly what the vote margins end up being. The republicans have had much success in these districts by 10 or more percentage points in the past but if those numbers are in the low single digits it still portends to hurt the national republicans. But we democrats are not settling for a close race in either district. We want to win the 9th and have an even chance in the 3rd. Because we know the republican party is having difficulty with trump as a leader and his coattails are what we are fighting hard to shorten this cycle.
It begins today with these September races and gets going even more in November when many states races come about. Today though is the beginning of the narrative for 2020 that the republican party will be facing a blue wave similar if not stronger than the one in the 2018 midterm elections when we democrats won over 400 state races from republicans and retook the House back at the federal level. The stakes are high today and for anyone to get cocky about the results prematurely only shows their immaturity. These two races are dissimilar in that the 3rd. is expected to stay republican because of historically heavy republican voting, but the 9th has already shown that is in play and although it has been a republican safe harbor in the past our blue wave is crashing down hard on it's shores!
No comments:
Post a Comment