Wednesday, December 30, 2020

6 days left until the Georgia US Senate runoffs (#4351)

      The same scenario as with last month's overall general election is playing out in Georgia for these senate runoffs. Big early turnout for democrats who then need to hold off the large expected turnout of republicans on election day January 5th. The dynamics have changed a bit though as several factors are at play now that weren't back in November. First the republican party is bickering within it's ranks over whether they should vote in the special election or not. As well these two senate runoff elections will determine the leadership of the senate at a time when the current republican leadership of the senate is making a mess of more stimulus cash that could be given to over 120 million Americans.
     There are other factors as well like the knowledge that republicans, who lost the presidential election total, did much better in the senate races vote totals last November. Also at play is the ground game there in Georgia. Last month was unprecedented in getting out the vote and it worked very well. This month the ground game is even more intense in the face of the high stakes involved with these two senate seats. Already these runoff elections have set an all time record for turnout for a runoff election in Georgia and that is good. The money being spent in these two senate runoffs is ridiculously extreme for a state wide runoff election with as of yet determined effect.
     One thing in favor of democrats that isn't being discussed is the Biden effect. He has been consistent in his statements that he will be president to all Americans. His goal is to bring us together in all the areas where we can agree and get things done. That may well convince some republicans in Georgia that the better paradigm would be for Biden to have a senate where he can get bills passed into law that won't be obstructed by a mcconnell led senate. So if more republicans vote for the democratic senate candidates than democrats voting for republican candidates the difference may be enough to get both democrats elected. Two more years of getting nothing done under a mcconnell led senate is just too much for too many of us to endure.

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