Sunday, July 9, 2023

(#5271) Any day now the Russian front line in Ukraine will falter

      The intent of the Ukrainian counter offensive has been to probe the 1000 mile long front line Russia is trying to defend in Ukraine. The probing is to find the weak points that may lead to a decision where to insert the many brigades being held in the rear. I applaud Ukraine for using a strategy that doesn't resemble the Russian attack model where they send too many of their troops to certain death. The Russians don't care about how many of their troops die on the front line because they only want results. Case in point is their nearly year long siege of Bakhmut city that cost them around 50,000 dead soldiers. All because Russia is run by a mob and attack in a mob style.
     Russia will lose Bakhmut in the next week or so because they expended too many of their troops just take it. Russia has no reserves to speak of that can come to Bakhmut and help them hold it. Ukraine has been systematically taking area around Bakhmut that in the end will become a pincer move and a death trap for Russian troops if they stay. This kind of strategy is playing out all along the front line as Ukraine is taking it's time to correctly conquer the high ground from which to assault the Russian defenses deeper into Ukrainian territory currently occupied by Russia. This Ukrainian counter offensive is a masterpiece in that they have no effective planes to help them sweep Russians back from entrenched positions.
     Once the opening is established for Ukraine to flow it's reserves into the battle the Russian horde will be run out of Ukraine. That includes Crimea and all of Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russia has already lost half it's military in the invasion of Ukraine so the idea that Russia has anything left to bolster it's defense of the occupied Ukrainian territories is absurd. Once the floodgate opens expect all the insurgency and anti Russian forces to join in the Ukrainian advance and destroy and capture Russian troops as they are routed and or running for their lives.

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