(#6405) 79 days until the election...

      Be careful with putting too much emphasis on polling. The types of people polled are stable more middle and upper income type folks. Even people with landlines are still contacted although that percentage is diminishing. Polling usually includes those with high school, college and professional degrees. Another big consideration in whom to contact for polling are the likely voters. Which lessens contact for new voters and those who vote sporadically. I am presenting this as a way to show that polling misses out on the real pulse of our nation as only certain types are more likely to be contacted for polling than a true cross representation of our citizenry.
     Polling is trying to predict the outcome based upon who the pollsters think will vote. Which is why we shouldn't pay too much attention to their predictions. What we should be paying attention to is getting out our vote. The pollsters are not interested in who possibly could vote they are interested in who is likely to vote and then predict their results on that. I get that what they are doing is less representative and more predictable as a way to gauge likely voter sentiment. But the problem is that they mostly only cover those who are traditional voters and less so new voters and infrequent voters. So when we see the pollsters showing close races where our intuition tells us different, just know that if our voters come out and vote those now close races the pollsters are showing will be wipeouts for us when our energized democratic party turns out to vote.
     We have 79 days to mobilize our voters to have a plan to vote, so forget about the polls. Each and everyone of us needs to know beforehand how our ballots are going to get safely and securely to the registrar's office. What we have learned from the trump era is that nothing can be taken for granted, not even our right to vote. So each of us must make sure we are registered correctly and legally able to vote. Nothing in our existence in this time of trump is more important than we democrats and independents who are like minded having a plan to vote. Allow this to be a warning. Many of us will not survive through the next two years if trump is able to keep his majorities in Congress. Please, prioritize this upcoming vote to the highest level!