As we are now halfway into the early voting for this Senate seat, it is obvious that the Georgia voters are well tuned to its importance. Early voting so far is very high with about 12% of eligible voters in Georgia having already turned in their early ballots. That is more than 833 thousand of the total 7 million eligible voters. It suggests that the turnout for this one seat election may well be on par with the turnout from the general election just concluded. If that is the case then it gives us democrats hope that Senator Warnock will be reelected. The smaller the turnout the better for republicans and their chances of retaking the seat. The larger the turnout increases democratic chances for holding the seat.
When we get to the end of early voting at the end of this week we will at least see what trends are discernable. As to the importance of this senate seat it is in the number of democratic seats in the senate that will make things more or less likely to happen. We democrats currently have 50 senate seats and adding this one in makes for 51. We democrats also have 2 senators who often enough buck the policies and processes of democratic wishes but not always in tandem. With an extra senate seat we may be able to negate one disapproving senator while keeping the other intact. As well with a win in this special runoff election we democrats will keep our blue wave election momentum alive.
That importance will show up in special elections that invariably occur to replace sitting house members who for many reasons cannot fulfill their 2 year terms. The importance will also be felt in next years 2 state elections in Virginia and New Jersey. Retaking the state houses in Virginia and holding seats in New Jersey will go a long way toward defining the narrative for the presidential election in 2024. But it all hinges on the holding of this democratic senate seat in Georgia. So this early vote enthusiasm is welcomed with open arms and for now portends good karma for a democratic hold. We shall see but I like how things are progressing with the Georgia electorate.
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