(#5325) Ukraine is bringing the Sea of Azov under short range fire control

      As Ukraine is moving steadily forward South down toward the Sea of Azov the Russian occupiers are increasingly in danger of being cut off from any supply route to replenish their armaments. Ukraine doesn't even need to go all the way to the coastal lines because their short and medium range artillery and missiles will be sufficient to rout the Russians who are being split into two different operating theaters. If Ukraine can establish a coastal stronghold the Russians will be vulnerable since they will be cut off with no escape. I expect that Russia will retreat to Crimea as quickly as possible if they see they are not going to be able to hold back the Southern Ukrainian advance.
     That will only be a temporary solution because Ukraine is on pace to move quickly into Crimea to begin that liberation process. The Russians who will be trapped are aware of the danger but they seem to be trying to hang on to the last moment. That is not a good strategy because Ukraine is not taking any breaks in their quest to oust Russian occupation of the territory. As long as putin continues to lie to his people about the real threats and dangers Russia now faces the easier it will be to catch the Russians on their back foot and remove them from Ukrainian territory. The momentum is on the side of Ukraine and the end of this invasion is within sight albeit not a short sight.
     Russia is trying hard to reclaim territory they lost last year in the Donbas and their constant attacks and propaganda seem to indicate that they want to mount an offensive there. But Russia is devoid of troops and armaments to produce a counter offensive like they are propagandizing. As long as the Ukrainian southern front continues as it is and the Bakhmut area remains hotly contested then Russia will not be able to attack in the East in order to counter the Ukrainian offensive in the South. These next handful of days will absolutely tell how this invasion will go. My bet is that Ukraine will succeed in their push to the Sea of Azov and will rout the Russians there further demoralizing the people of Russia.