Friday, April 21, 2023

(#5192) The Ukrainian counter offensive is imminent

      Whether a feint or not the counter offensive Ukraine has been planning for many months has either just started or is faking starting. Unsure yet at this point in time. But the activity at the front in the North, East, and South in Ukraine has increased significantly and at least one Ukrainian official has told the press that the much anticipated counter offensive has started. It would be great if all the pieces are in place for the counter attack despite the leak of preparations by Ukraine to oust Russia from Ukrainian soil. Russia is at a weak stage at the moment with such heavy losses over the last several months in the Bakhmut area.
     The wagner group has been decimated and is not much of a deterrence going forward. Russia has lost to death over 185,000 troops with likely as many injured. Russia is weak right now with their battlefield armaments are devastated as well. The western supplies have been coming into Ukraine pretty much non stop over the last few months so all signs point to the counter offensive being either imminent or already started. We the public don't know the shape of the counter offensive but we can expect that it will involve moving troops forward in many areas of contestation on the front. For me the likelihood of Ukraine using an attack to get to Mariupal in order to recapture Crimea makes a lot of sense.
     Whatever form the Ukrainian counter offensive takes the sooner it is underway and attacking the sooner we will see Russians fleeing from their indefensible positions. The Russian army as of now is a paper tiger and with real angry fighting soldiers from Ukraine intent on reclaiming their nation the Russians are going to be routed! Now that is just my opinion but take into account the lack of supplies and the cavalier way putin and the kremlin throw away the lives of their soldiers it would and should not be a surprise to see the Russian army fold and retreat back to their borders.
     

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