Sunday, October 18, 2020

16 days left until the election (#4278)

      No bombshell election deciding event will occur before the election coming from republicans. Because they are the ones who are ripe for an election scandal type event. So the days keep winding down. We are at 16 days until election day and over 26 million have already early voted. I expect that the around 138 million who voted in 2016 will be heavily surpassed with more than 150 million at least expected to vote. Out of approximately 238 million registered voters in 2016, only about 58% of them actually voted, 138 million.
     The standard assumption here is that about 5 million citizens are added to the voter rolls every year so from the four years since the 2016 election approximately 20 million new voters have registered. If we deduct about 2 million from that total to account for Covid-19 disruptions in 2020 we still get about 18 million new voters. Added to the 238 million registered voters in 2016 we get about 256 million eligible voters. If 65% of these 256 million cast ballots this year which is consistent with many prognostications, the total would be about 166 million ballots cast. An increase of 28 million more votes from 2016. It would be anyone's guess as to whom was voted for but the increase in percentage of voters in this election would more likely benefit democrats for various reasons.
     All this to say is that the outlook and opportunity is there for we democrats and like minded independents to control our own destiny this election if we all get out and vote. It is that simple. The republican party knows they are not in a good position but there are a couple of things they are good at and they being trying to disrupt our voting and their own history of actually voting. We can overcome both as early voting gives us that ability to make sure our votes get counted before the election and also make sure that we all vote. We are so close to having a nation that can and will put it's people first but we have to want it like nothing else matters in this moment of moments. Vote and let us then declare that we are ready again to join the civilized world where democracy is our banner!

No comments: