Wednesday, August 9, 2023

(#5302) Is this the moment in Ukraine?

      Ukraine's counter offensive is starting to take shape as to it's overall objective. For the last many weeks Ukraine has been probing the front line with limited success but what that success has given is a better picture of how to attack the Russians and break through with Ukraine's reserves. It is still early on this assumption but it appears that from the Kherson region an attack through the Russian lines is imminent. A wide breach there has already happened and now we will see how the fighting goes for advancement. If also successful in the next day or so then expect Ukraine to move it's reserves into position for an advancement toward Crimea.
     The distance from the Kherson region to Crimea is the shortest of all the possible attack zones so this breach is well timed to take advantage of the shorter distance. Plus the Russians moved their most skilled fighters from the region over to the Zaporizhzhia region. Which leaves the less entrenched Kherson region vulnerable to the Ukrainian counter offensive. Ukraine has been attacking with missiles for months the supply lines Russia has used for supplying the Kherson region. With supplies low and Russian troops exhausted from their low morale the time may be just perfect for a massive Ukrainian assault.
     Tomorrow should give us a better picture as to how this current wide breach of the Russian front line is utilized. Ukraine retaking Crimea would be such a blow to putin in Russia that he will find that his safety will be much more difficult to protect. Much needs to be done first by Ukraine but pouring through this current breach is a tremendous start if that is what Ukraine does. Russia is weakened and cannot put up much of a fight against the offensive/defensive armaments Ukraine has now in it's stockpiles if Ukraine comes at them from the Kherson region. This may be the moment that so many of us have been waiting for from the Ukrainian counter offensive.

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